Showing posts with label fear. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fear. Show all posts

Tuesday, 5 September 2017

Essential Day Trading Rules To Improve Your Profitability

Traders often ask me to provide them with a guide; something that will allow them to improve their odds of making good money with the minimum amount of risk while day trading. They think that I have some secret information that enables me to take profits out of the markets in a consistent manner.
On the other hand, I tend to follow certain simple rules. Yes, day trading is simple if you are willing to look at the simplest possible explanations. Never try to complicate the scenario because the market itself is a complex entity.
Without much delay, here are the rules that I follow religiously.
1) Familiarize with the market that you wish to day trade. It is true that the price action keeps on varying for different markets. Some of the markets are extremely choppy while the others tend to trend. Before jumping in, take some time to familiarize yourself with the price action of the market.
2) Take some effort to prepare for the day. Just like any other business, day trading requires some preparation from your end. Do not think that this is a way to get easy money. Look at websites that feature business news articles to get a hang of the global events.
3) Stick with your day trading plan. This is very important if you are currently in a losing spree. When too many bad trades begin to accumulate, traders tend to stop following their original trading plan. Strange ideas might begin to flow through their minds - leading to more losses eventually.
4) It is not a good idea to be greedy while day trading. Greed can cloud your sane mind and it will force you to place bad trades. While in the green, just take what you can get and close the shop for the day!
5) Losses are essential to day trading. Some of the best day traders will go through phases of losses. That does not discourage them. Your trading plan should come with elements to control the losses on every trade. Think of it as writing a test. You need not have to get every answer correct. It is the final score that matters.
6) Chasing the market is not a good idea. Some days, you might miss a particularly appealing trade. Instead of jumping in late, it is better to look for price retractions. If it is meant to be, the price will come and touch your desired level!
7) Overtrading is a strict no-no. The brokers will ensure that a trader who overtrades will never remain in business for a very long time. Your day trading strategy should contain minimal entry points in a day. Else, you will end up paying a lot more on commissions to the broker.
8) Move with the flow. When the prices are surging, look for retracements to buy. Likewise, when the prices are falling, look for opportunities to sell. You can be a strong swimmer. However, you will never find success swimming against the tide.
9) Profits are essential; but take steps to protect your existing trading capital too. Think of it as the oxygen supply carried by the divers. When the oxygen in the tank depletes, they will die. Likewise, take steps to protect your trading capital by avoiding overtrading.
10) News announcements. Please be cautious while trading news announcements. Never remain in position before important news flow. The price will usually spike either ways (thanks to the high frequency trading programs).

Article Source: Here

Friday, 4 August 2017

I Still Haven't Started With Live Trading Yet, Because I Am Afraid to "Click"

Relatively often, I find myself in situations where beginning traders are telling me that they have done all the necessary work such as backtesting and profitable papertrading, but they still can't find the courage to click "live". Therefore I will try to summarize a few pieces of advice and tips in today's article.
First of all, I would like to repeat that this advice is only for those who really underwent the necessary preparation work, i.e. they have done backtests to verify functionality of their system and have done papertrading for some time and were able to trade profitably for a couple of months (alternatively they have done only papertrading, i.e. without backtests, but in that case for a longer period of time and more precisely). Without these basic steps, the beginner doesn't show a diligent and serious enough approach to trading and they absolutely shouldn't click "live", because they aren't ready enough!
As long as the beginner fulfills the requirements above, then, based on my experience, there are three types of fear to "click", which I will try to describe more closely.
Fear no.1: I am afraid to lose money
I think that in connection with trading, this is one of the most common and most natural types of fear. Nobody wants to lose money and, for the vast majority of beginners, the concept of occasional loss that is part of a long-term profitable trading, is difficult to take in. Up until now, we were used to getting some kind of reward for every activity - in trading, this type of thinking is failing and it is even getting worse because of the factor that after a few hours, days, or even months of activity the outcome can be loss. This is why the fear of loss of money is completely natural and not always wrong. This fear has its positive side, because it helps conscientious individuals and it is pushing them towards better preparation and to make an effort to not underestimate anything.
And thus, it is important to realize if this is the fear that is stopping us to "click". If the answer is 'yes', then it is important to openly confess to yourself if possible loss per trade represents a considerable amount (i.e. amount that we aren't willing to lose, because in our normal life it represents a lot of money) or if it is an amount that doesn't mean anything significant and a factual loss of such amount won't be a major problem.
If we are talking about the first option, i.e. situation when possible loss from trading is unbearably high and it represents a lot of money, the advice is rather simple: Either you are undercapitalized, or you risk per trade more than what we are willing to lose and bear. In such case it is necessary to increase the account or move to a cheaper market (with lower volatility), alternatively lower timeframe - to achieve decrease of our stop-loss to a level that won't be as painful. Or alternatively to do both (i.e. slightly increase the account and through a change of market or timeframe decrease the risk per trade).
If it is the second option, then the fear of loss of money probably isn't the real problem. Maybe you are just telling yourself that this is the main problem and that the fear of loss of money has the biggest influence on you - but it can be just a conscious belief, which is far from what is happening in your subconscious. Then the real cause can be one of the other types of fears.
Fear no.2: I am afraid to fail, I am afraid I am not good enough
This type of fear is more serious, because it is connected to subconscious models resulting from failures and lack of success in the past (which lead to lower self-confidence).
In the past if we suffered some substantial failure (even deeper, in our childhood) which could negatively influence us, or if we failed in something essential (effort to sustain a business, effort to make a significant change, etc.), our self-confidence can be considerably broken and our subconscious can slow us down from any other effort in order to protect us from another possible disappointment.
The advice here is substantially more difficult and if there is a deeper problem, it can be helpful to consult this with a professional psychologist who can help to find and eliminate such subconscious blocks and fears.
Personally, I have tried various types of meditation and other alternative ways for similar types of subconscious fears, but I respect that not everyone is willing to try them.
Yet I think that the best way is simply to click and live through the possible first loss in the market - to see that there is nothing horrible about it!
Broadly speaking, there are only two possibilities to "force" yourself into this first click.
The first one is to plan and prepare everything in advance. The better and more detailed planning of our first click, the higher the probability of its realization.
First of all, set yourself a target that for example next week (don't postpone it too much) at a particular day and time you do that first click. For example, you can say that it will be on Wednesday, which is for some reason the calmest day for you and that it will be between 4 and 6pm, the period you have done your training on. But, ideally, you will do that first click in the first 30 minutes after the market opens and you definitely take the first trade according to plan as soon as it occurs.
Afterwards, for the rest of the week, visualize that "Wednesday" (or you can choose any other day) before you go to sleep. Imagine that the day has come, imagine in detail how you sit in front of the computer and you patiently wait for a trade according to plan and when it comes, you click on the mouse without any hesitation. Experience and envision your feelings (it doesn't matter what feelings you have, don't think about them too much), imagine both possible scenarios - that the first trade will be both loss and gain. The day before your set date, stop thinking about anything and when that day comes, just calmly do what you have visualised a few days ago. You will see that it isn't as bad as it seemed - once this first experience is behind you, the other ones will surely be simpler and you will slowly get used to it!
The second option sounds a bit crazy, but it works as well. Now go to your computer (or at the earliest possible moment). Open the chart and click BUY or SELL (completely blindley, it is absolutely insignificant if you buy or sell), count calmly to 3 - and then close your position. And it is done. Your first trade is behind you; you clicked. Nothing terrible has happened, you are alive and healthy, you survived, and it wasn't difficult at all! So why so much fuss about it? It was a piece of cake! Done; now you just have to repeat it based on your signals according to your trading plan, and you are where you want to be. There is no need to make it complicated.
Fear no.3: I am afraid of change
The last type of fear may sound a bit strange, but it also has its own reason and explanation.
The human brain doesn't like change. The human brain prefers the past (which it likes to idealize), it declines to its deep-rooted stereotypes (this is why most of the people like to run on "autopilot") and it refuses any kind of change. Just try to imagine how you would react if your boss arrives to your workplace tomorrow and exchanges people amongst departments and also changes their job descriptions from last week.
Trading is a change - a significant change. It can mean anything (a successful future isn't guaranteed) and whatever outcome will be, it can sound terrifying. If we lose, it can be an unpleasant change to worse; if we succeed, at present we think that it will be great to start a new dream life - but in reality we can't really imagine actual steps towards such a considerable life change, because in that current moment such a big change is rather dramatic for our brain! And so, our brain can subconsciously sabotage us to keep us as long as possible in our current comfort of apparent certainty that at least we know what tomorrow will bring. The brain loves its certainties (even the bad ones and horrible ones - for many people unsuccessful and depressing relationships are still better than none at all, and rubbish and hated jobs are still a better solution than to take a risk, leave a job and search for a new one) and subconsciously it can block many of our efforts to change. For example, it can constantly block our efforts to click "live", which could be understood as a first step towards possible change.
So, what to do in such a case? Simply initiate in our life as many small changes as possible, which slightly "derail" our routine stereotypes and help us gain more self-confidence to click.
Choose a different, new route to work from tomorrow on.
Do something you have wanted to do for some time now, or do something crazy this weekend, like bungee jumping, go-carts, etc.
Try a meal you have never tried before and go to a restaurant you have never been to before.
Do something, anything, that changes your usual rhythm and stereotype for a couple of days or weeks. It is necessary to train your brain for changes, to teach it new flexibility. Then it should be considerably easier to click, because once your brain gets used to a repeated disruption of stereotypes, it will be much better prepared for a change - and so for your first click.
These are today's advices and tips. Don't be afraid to combine a few of them at the same time. I wish you good luck and courage!
Happy Trading!


Article Source:Here

Thursday, 15 June 2017

Greed and Fear: Common Stock Trading Traps and How to Avoid Them

Greed and fear are the two dominant emotions that affect the stock market. Although there are many other factors that influence the change in stock price, these two emotions are the underlying cause for the unpredictable fluctuation of stock price. As emotional creatures, humans make trade decisions all the time based on their feelings about the given market conditions. However, trading decisions influenced by emotions of greed and fear and stock trading success are two things that generally don't go hand in hand.
So how do these emotions really influence the individual traders decisions? More importantly, how can a trader avoid emotional trading?
Holding a stock in fear as it drops in price is a classic way traders lose money.
Say the typical trader buys a stock and it slowly goes down for a few days after the purchase. The trader is a bit worried but he still keeps his composer because he is certain that the stock will come back up. He holds for a few more days and the stock continues to inch downward. At this point the trader has lost a large percent of his original position.
Now the panic starts to kick in...
The trader begins to panic but he doesn't sell off because this is too much of a loss to bear. He can't afford to lose such a large chunk of his portfolio especially since he thinks the stock will come back up any day. The trader is praying that it will bounce back up just enough so he can at least break even. Yet as he clings to his position in fear, stock continues to fall. Finally he sells the stock partially out of fear that it will drop even lower and also because he can't bear the pain of holding the failing positions anymore.
This is a prime example of how the fear affects traders. Holding onto a stock because you have a hunch that the price will bounce back up is a dangerous way to interact with the stock market. Because of the markets unpredictable nature, you can never be completely certain of what might happen next.
So how would the greed influence this same unfortunate trader?
Keep in mind that after the trader lost such a large sum of money, he wants to earn it back as quickly as possible. Eager to find opportunities to make the most money back to cover his loss, he searches for riskier stocks. After running some scans he spots a penny stock that is moving ten, twenty, even 30 percent every day. With moves like this the trader figures that he could make back the money and more in the next week.
This particular stock's price pattern is extremely volatile and sporadic. The trader has no way to gauge where the price might move next. However, the trader still impulsively takes a position while holding onto the belief that the stock will make him a fortune. The trader is completely engrossed in the prospect of making a large sum of money in such a short amount of time. Because he was so eager and impatient, the trader had placed his trade without assessing any of the safer, more predictable stocks.
Nevertheless, the stock does not make him a fortune. The stock abruptly reverses downward in the next few days.
These are two classic scenarios of how many traders play the market. They let their emotions get the best of them and their trading success suffers as a result. Making trading decisions influenced by greed and fear will never produce profitable results.
So how do you take the emotions of greed and fear out of trading? The answer is simple. Lay out a solid strategy and stick to it.
This of course is often easier said than done. However, trading in a strict and systematic way limits the emotional element of trading significantly. Disciplined trading according to a plan is the antidote to emotional trading.
As mentioned before, trading based on predictions and emotion never leads to a profitable outcome. This is why sticking to a strategy is so important.
Stop-losses in particular are extremely important components in the strategy. When a stock hits your stop-loss it is extremely tempting to ignore it thinking a reversal is right around the corner. However, the truth is that you just don't know if it's going to go up. When the stock hits your stop-loss, simply step back and take you position out of the market. If you made some profit off of the stock then that's great. If you lost some money, just wait and see if you get another buy signal from the stock and step back in.



Article Source:Source

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